What Happened: Featuring a 5-6 team on Thanksgiving may not seem all that exciting for the NFL. That is, until you realize two things: 1. The 2-9 Giants and 4-7 Cowboys will face off on Turkey Day with absolutely nothing on the line beyond which team is less humiliated by the end, and 2. The aforementioned 5-6 team, the Miami Dolphins, have plenty to play for.

Why It Matters: Per Austin Mock of The Athletic ($), Miami’s result tomorrow against the Packers is the third-most consequential of Week 13 in the NFL. Pit a desperate team against one in a pretty comfortable position (Green Bay’s 93.9% playoff odds will barely budge with a win or loss) and you have the makings of an entertaining game.

The Dolphins, per Mock, currently have a 32.8% chance of qualifying for the postseason. You can find odds for Miami to qualify as short as +210 and as long as +240 as of this writing.

With a loss, the Fins would still have a 1-in-5 chance to play meaningful games in January. But a win? Suddenly, Mike McDaniel’s team would be a coin flip from making or missing out on a playoff berth.

There’s your guide to Thanksgiving football: if you are a Packers fan, root against the Lions early but don’t sweat the outcome of your team’s game. Giants and Cowboys fans, be grateful you get to spend time with those you love (and turn the TV off.)

As for Dolphins fans, the season starts tomorrow. Don’t let your happiness hinge on whether your team wins or not, but the playoff picture should be more clear by the time the pumpkin pie hits the table.